The Box Office Predictions and Earnings Thread

[VictorZamora]

Viacom released some info today about its future projects, but sadly any news relating to The Last Airbender or the hoped for trilogy is absent from the company's report.

In my eyes, this is good, it allows for a reboot of the series.

[Project 86]

Viacom released some info today about its future projects, but sadly any news relating to The Last Airbender or the hoped for trilogy is absent from the company's report.

In my eyes, this is good, it allows for a reboot of the series.

in 10 years maybe lol

[lanzelotz]

Don´t know if this was posted before, but boxofficespy assumes TLA has to make around 580 mil $ to break even.
http://blog.boxofficespy.com/2010/06/la ... costs.html

Of course not just in the theaters but with DVD sales etc..

[Crystal<3]

Don´t know if this was posted before, but boxofficespy assumes TLA has to make around 580 mil $ to break even.

yeah right.

After 280 milion, I believe their next "milestone" is 400 million, and then 560 million.... and then 1 billion dollars (cue Dr. Evil little pinky...)

See how that works?

Every time TLA reaches a milestone, the haters raise the bar of success higher and higher - just to reinforce their deranged view of the movie being an utter "failure". Nevermind that $280 million "budget" may be way off to begin with.

first 280, then 300, then 400, and now, 580. Wow.

[lanzelotz]

@Crystal

Well, their assumptions are based on the rumored numbers (150mil $ + 130 mil $ marketing) and the fact that Paramount only keeps around 50% of the box office earnings.
It´s something hasdi and I also discussed earlier.
The linked article is from a date before TLA was in the theaters, so mabye they aren´t haters, cause they didn´t even see the movie.
The article is just an analysis based on some assumptions.
I guess you didn´t even bother to check out the link, just calling anybody "haters" is so much easier.

[Crystal<3]

Hm, I should be more careful on the internet, Im not actually mad (<- see?). I didn't think they were deff. haters, I was rolling my eyes that the number keeps getting bigger. (I wanted a smilie with eyes half closed, but couldn't find one so I went with the rolled eyes)
there was that thing a while back where we talked about it costing a lot less, I assumed people outside the site wouldn't hear about it. But why should the number keep rising? Pick a number and stick to it

[lanzelotz]

@ Crystal

Ok I´m not mad either.

But I´m not intersted in picking numbers. I want to know the numbers

[Delmaar]

The 130 Mil marketing has already been debunked, let's not go down that path again.

http://www.redbox.com/content.mvc/top20 ... p&fv=79912

Airbender is number 2 (was number 1) on rentals for Redbox. Not bad. Based on my research, there is no chart that accurately tracks DVD sales. However, this is one we can look at when it updates: http://www.the-numbers.com/dvd/charts/w ... isweek.php


Interesting to note:
How to train your dragon brought in $493 Million in ticket sales worldwide.
Karate Kid brought in $358 Million.

However, Dragon has brought in 87 Million in DVD sales in 5 weeks. Karate Kid has only brought in $37 Million in DVD sales in 6 weeks. So even though Karate Kid brought in about 3/4 the revenue of Dragon in ticket sales, it's bringing in less than 1/2 the revenue of Dragon in DVD sales.

DVD sales are really critical to determining if their should be an Airbender sequel.

[Crystal<3]

ohh, that is cool, looks good!

[sri hk]

The first week DVD sales numbers are out:

DVD Sales Performance

Released on DVD: November 16, 2010
As of : 11/21/2010
DVD Units Sold: 750,859
Consumer Spending: $12,757,094

and

Theatrical Performance

Total US Gross $131,601,062
International Gross $187,423,980
Worldwide Gross $319,025,042